NYC Mayoral Forum Liveblog

by: Living Liberally

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 17:13

By Josh Bolotsky & Justin Krebs

Note: the wifi at the Union Hall broke down from 5:55 to 6:30, so we're retroactively filling in that coverage now.

As promised earlier today, we're liveblogging from the Working Families Party's Mayoral Forum, at the Hotel Trades Council Union Hall in midtown Manhattan. We'll be joined by two leading Democratic candidates, Bill Thompson and Tony Avella, and the incumbent Michael Bloomberg. If you have any questions, comments or thoughts for us, please let us know in the comments, and we'll try to reflect those interests in our coverage.

You can also watch it live here.

6:45 First question about development.  Unions love it; community organizers are wary.  WFP is both.  Avella is saying we need standards.  "We are giving the developer a privilege" when we approve their projects. -jk

6:40 Council Member Tony Avella opens by saying this is the largest forum he's been at.  Gets applause.  "And thank you for letting me follow Mike Bloomberg...because that's exactly what I'd like to do at City Hall."

He's the long-shot Dem...but he also tends to be a bit edgier than Thompson, which could play here.

"I'm running for Mayor for one simple reason:  I am fed up with how the system is running today."  Getting more applause...like there's a contingent here trying to make clear that they take him seriously. -jk

6:36 Bloomberg finished right as wi-fi returns.  Go for it, conspiracy theorists!  His final answer had to do with the fact that "money doesn't buy elections," and he's not ashamed of the money he's spending.

He got some applause for it, and some jeers.  WFP is having an internal debate.

His closing statement hits jobs -- calls for people being able to get healthcare, take days off when sick, etc.  "You wouldn't want a Mayor you'd always agree with."  

Closes with a mention of a swearing in ceremony for new citizens he attended this morning.  One man in front stands up for an ovation as he leaves.  Good amount of applause, but not total. -jk

6:36 Bloomberg finished right as wi-fi returns.  Go for it, conspiracy theorists!  His final answer had to do with the fact that "money doesn't buy elections," and he's not ashamed of the money he's spending.

He got some applause for it, and some jeers.  WFP is having an internal debate.

His closing statement hits jobs -- calls for people being able to get healthcare, take days off when sick, etc.  "You wouldn't want a Mayor you'd always agree with."  

Closes with a mention of a swearing in ceremony for new citizens he attended this morning.  One man in front stands up for an ovation as he leaves.  Good amount of applause, but not total. -jk

6:35 We're back!

6:34 His answer on money in campaigns is by far the worst, on both substance and politics, of the evening. Instead of addressing the core question (as Justin mentioned, a running trend here), he's starts by talking about his election, and then talking about how there's no such thing as a truly, perfectly fair election. "Some people go to better schools, are luckier in their backgrounds..." This gets boos and murmurs. He then talked about how "The rich people don't always win," claiming if you look at elections with millionaire candidate, they only win in a small percentage - "You can't buy an election with money - people are too smart for that - you can use it to get a message out," and he's unabashed, he says, about using it to talk about his message. No one here is satisfied - imagine if instead of answering the question on green jobs, the full substance of his answer was, "Well, there's no such thing as a perfectly green economy..." I can't imagine who this answer helped him with. -jb

6:33 Dan Cantor asking about money in campaigns.  Is it a valid concern that he spends so much?  Why not agree to a level playing field in the spirit of fair play?

6:31 Points to Albany as an example of the need for non-partisan elections; but says he won't take it up again unless "there's a clear political road to get there."  He got burned on this in 2003.  By WFP, and others.  He bankrolled a referendum, and lost.  But he suggests that non-partisan elections would help WFP break free from having to choose between party candidates.

6:29 On question about spending in tough economic times, he gave an answer that led the woman behind me to murmur, "He didn't answer the question."  A lot of that.  Then again, there may be some of that all around.

(earlier commentary below the fold)

There's More... :: (1 Comments, 1172 words in story)

We Could Get The Third Stimulus Wrong

by: Drum Major Institute

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 15:00

Originally posted by Harry Moroz at DMIBlog.

As state governments across the country grappled this week with painful decisions about tax increases and service cuts to close budget deficits, stimulus watchers raised serious concerns about the deleterious effects that these deficit-closing measures will have on economic recovery. Stephanie Kelton pointed out that "Jobs that are being created (or saved) through the left hand of the Obama stimulus package are disappearing at least as rapidly as the right hand slashes billions from state budgets." Indeed, state and local government purchases declined $78.8 billion in the last six months.

These claims are used to argue for additional fiscal assistance for state governments. One popular means of providing this assistance is the now-defunct General Revenue Sharing, a Nixon administration program ended by Reagan that directed federal funds to state and (at that time primarily) local governments with essentially no strings attached. James Galbraith was an early proponent of resurrecting GRS to mitigate the economic downturn.

As much as state fiscal relief does stimulate the economy and as much as a third stimulus might be necessary, GRS has two important flaws that point out a larger problem with the stimulus package: how we can effectively target stimulus funds to the people and institutions that need them most.

First, GRS's allocation formula is problematic. The Wall Street Journal suggests that so far stimulus aid has been insufficiently targeted to the states with the most need, that is, to those with the highest unemployment rates. An earlier San Francisco Federal Reserve research note elaborated on exactly which portions of the stimulus package are more and less targeted to needy states. The parts of the stimulus that are well-targeted are those with formulas that proxy for "rapid reversals in economic fortunes". This is true of the increased federal matching grant for Medicaid, which uses the rise in the state's unemployment rate as one variable in the formula. The parts that are rather poorly targeted are those with formulas based primarily on population. This is true of the state Fiscal Stabilization Fund, which uses population as its primary variable.

There's More... :: (4 Comments, 358 words in story)

Where The Senate Stands On A Public Option

by: Chris Bowers

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 13:21

Based on the news reports, public statements, and grassroots voter contacts generated from Stand With Dr. Dean, here is a chart detailing where the entire Senate stands on a public option.

While we still haven't received many clear answers on our campaign to make every Senator give specifics on what type of public option they support, the overall progress on the public option is pretty good. We are now up to 38 "yes" votes, only 12 away from enough to pass a public option through reconciliation. And, in the best news of all, the Senate HELP committee plan, that includes a public option and is already paid for in the budget, will pass through the committee with the support of all 13 Democrats. This includes Kay Hagan, who until recently was opposed to a public option.

Bottom line: your activism is working, and we are gaining big momentum in the health care fight. Keep emailing your Senators to get answers on what type of public option they support. And keep calling House members to build a Progressive Block that will vote against health care legislation unless it includes a public option.

Expanded Whip Chart
The 63 Reachable Votes
Yes--38; Maybe--16; Unknown--7; No--2

STATE/SENATOR Public Option? Available Day One? Nationally Available? Can Bargain for Rates?
AK - Begich (D) Unknown
AR - Lincoln (D) Maybe
AR - Pryor (D) Maybe
CA - Boxer (D) Yes
CA - Feinstein (D) Maybe
CO - Bennet (D) Maybe
CO - Udall (D) Yes
CT- Dodd (D) Yes
CT - Lieberman (I) No -- -- --
DE - Carper (D) Maybe
DE - Kaufman (D) Yes
FL - Bill Nelson (D) Unkown
GA - Isakson (R) Maybe
HI - Akaka (D) Yes
HI - Inouye (D) Yes
IA - Harkin (D) Yes
IL - Burris (D) Yes (new HCAN signer)
IL - Durbin (D) Yes
IN - Bayh (D) Maybe
LA - Landrieu (D) Maybe No No No
MA - Kerry (D) Maybe
MA - Kennedy (D) Yes
MD - Cardin (D) Yes
MD - Mikulski (D) Yes
ME - Collins (R) No -- -- --
ME - Snowe (R) Maybe
MI - Levin (D) Yes
MI - Stabenow (D) Yes
MN - Franken (D) Unknown
MN - Klobuchar (D) Unknown
MO - McCaskill (D) Yes
MT - Baucus (D) Maybe
MT - Tester (D) Maybe
NC - Hagan (D) Yes -- -- --
ND - Conrad (D) Maybe Yes No Yes
ND - Dorgan (D) Yes Maybe Yes Yes
NE - Ben Nelson (D) Maybe
NH - Shaheen (D) Yes
NJ - Lautenberg (D) Yes
NJ - Menendez (D) Yes
NM - Bingaman (D) Yes
NM - Udall (D) Yes
NV - Reid (D) Yes
NY - Gillibrand (D) Yes
NY - Schumer (D) Yes Yes Yes
OH - Brown (D) Yes Yes
OR - Merkley (D) Yes Yes (via email) Yes (via email) Yes (via email)
OR - Wyden (D) Maybe
PA - Casey (D) Yes
PA - Specter (D) Yes
RI - Reed (D) Yes
RI - Whitehouse (D) Yes
SD - Johnson (D) Unknown
VA - Warner (D) Maybe
VA - Webb (D) Yes
VT - Leahy (D) Yes
VT - Sanders (I) Yes
WA - Cantwell (D) Yes
WA - Murray (D) Yes
WI - Feingold (D) Yes Yes Yes Yes
WI - Kohl (D) Unknown
WV - Byrd (D) Unknown
WV - Rockefeller (D) Yes
Notes:
--Senators who have expressed support for a "trigger" are listed as a maybe. This includes Carper, Kerry, Landrieu and Snowe

--Rhode Island's Future is arguing that Jack Reed is not in favor of a public plan, despite claims otherwsie from Reed's office. This is based on Reed introducing legislation that does not include a public option. However, I'm going with Reed's office on this one. Introducing legislation that does not include a public option is not the same thing as declaring that you will vote against other legislation that has a public option.

--Kay Hagan was a "no" until just a few minutes ago. However, now comes news that she will vote for the HELP committee bill that includes a public option.

The "likely opposition" chart can be found in the extended entry.

There's More... :: (13 Comments, 158 words in story)

467K Jobs Cut in June; Jobless Rate at 26-Year High

by: Mike Lux

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 10:45

As fladem notes in QH. But, hey, I'm really glad that the big banks are making money again. No doubt it will all trickle down to the rest of us soon.
Discuss :: (8 Comments)

Blogging the NYC Mayoral Forum Later Today

by: Living Liberally

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 10:36

by Justin Krebs

Later today, the Working Families Party will be hosting a Mayoral Forum for the two leading Democratic candidates, Bill Thompson and Tony Avella, and the incumbent Michael Bloomberg.

You can watch it live here.

Additionally, Josh Bolotsky and I will be covering the event live.  You can find the coverage here at Open Left at 5:30pm eastern.  

Any issues in particular you want us to pay attention to?

Discuss :: (1 Comments)

After the Bubble: A New Direction for Housing

by: Drum Major Institute

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 09:39

Originally posted by John Petro at DMIBlog.

The housing bubble provided some clear indicators that there is something wrong with our current patterns of housing development. The suburban sprawl model that fueled the growth of many Sunbelt economies, from South Florida to Phoenix to southern California, sputtered out, leaving foreclosed homes, half-finished developments, and never-filled strip malls in its wake. It is difficult to determine cause and effect, but it is clear that the financial crisis had its roots in the wave of foreclosures that has swept the country.

But, according to Joel Kotkin, once the dust settles we should just continue on our current trajectory. Kotkin believes that a "renewed quest for homeownership could underpin a sustainable recovery."

However, there is nothing sustainable about our current housing model. It has real costs on our pocketbooks, our economy, and our environment. The Economist seems to agree.

More in the extended entry.

There's More... :: (3 Comments, 364 words in story)

Senate Already Passed A Budget That Can Pay For A Public Option

by: Chris Bowers

Thu Jul 02, 2009 at 02:03

The Congressional Budget Office has put an estimated price tag on the health care reform bill from the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP). The plan includes a public option, and will cost just over $600 billion over ten years:

Democrats on a key Senate Committee outlined a revised and far less costly health care plan Wednesday night that includes a government-run insurance option and an annual fee on employers who do not offer coverage to their workers.

The plan carries a 10-year price tag of slightly over $600 billion, and would lead toward an estimated 97 percent of all Americans having coverage, according to the Congressional Budget Office, Sens. Edward M. Kennedy and Chris Dodd said in a letter to other members of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee. The AP obtained a copy.

By contrast, an earlier, incomplete proposal carried a price tag of roughly $1 trillion and would have left millions uninsured, CBO analysts said in mid-June.

The most noteworthy part of this is that a 10-year price tag of slightly over $600 billion is slightly less than the $634 billion President Obama set aside for health care spending in the budget:

President Barack Obama's first budget will seek $634 billion over 10 years as a down payment on health care reform, a senior administration official said Wednesday.

The Senate has already passed the budget with the health care spending intact:

The Senate easily passed a $3.55 trillion federal budget late Thursday night to kick off a two-week recess, giving President Obama most of what he wanted in his first spending plan in office.

Senators voted 55-43 for a plan that was championed by the White House and congressional Democrats as key to reviving the nation's economy and panned by Republicans as too expensive to adopt.(...)

The Senate budget closely parallels the proposal put forth by Obama, trimming it only by $12 billion in non-defense discretionary spending

Add it all up, and the Senate has already passed a budget that can pay for the public option. While a few details need to be clarified, the overall structure is now in place.

At this point, the only way that a public plan does not pass into law is if right-wing Democratic ideologues like Joe Lieberman overwhelm The Progressive Bloc(k). You can make sure that doesn't happen by using the Citizen Whip Count tool at FireDogLake.

Discuss :: (12 Comments)
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