John Hussman: there is a cushion of bondholder capital sufficient to absorb all probable losses (Will)
John Hussman of the Hussman Fund points to the obvious place to find solvency for banks, but you don't hear Congress or the administration talking about: The Bank Bond Holders.

He breaks down a plan that would make bond holders accept responsibility, and thus minimize tax payer risk and involvement. This is going well beyond Dodd's flimsy warrants idea.

http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wm...

Here is a snip:

"The key is to recognize that for nearly all of the institutions currently at risk of failure, there exists a cushion of bondholder capital sufficient to absorb all probable losses, without any need for the public to bear the cost.

For example, consider Morgan Stanley's balance sheet as of 8/31/08. Total assets were $988.8 billion, with shareholder equity (including junior subordinated debt) of $42.1 billion, for a gross leverage ratio of 23.5. However, the company also has approximately $200 billion in long-term debt to its bondholders, primarily consisting of senior debt with an average maturity of about 6 years. Why on earth would Congress put the U.S. public behind these bondholders?

The stockholders and bondholders of the company itself should be the first to bear losses, not the public. That is the essence of what a free and fair market, and a responsible government would enforce. The investors in the companies that produced the losses should be accountable for them, and the customers and counterparties should be protected."

-

Hussman also includes a refinancing plan. but I think his home refinancing proposal is flawed. but this essay is at least worth reading for its spotlight on bond holder value that could easily absorb the problem and would place responsibility in the right place.

Well but there's also the opportunity
of a buyout (not a bailout).

I'd like the federal government to buy equity stakes in these companies so we get to a more mixed economy. This is an opportunity for more nationalization and shared wealth throughout the country, not just for the wealthy. Plus we can get more through for mortgages and maybe even a tax increase on top income brackets.  


you can risk your money buy buying shares directly
frankly I dont want to be vested in these banks, and that's not something the govt should be doing. one of the biggest drawbacks to that is the govt becomes even more vested in propping up the companies - lest they lose share value.

if you want to own these banks, then you'll love the idea of vesting the social security fund in the them.

I say keep the govt out of it - the whole idea is to get away from their risk - not closer.

Michael Bloomberg, prince of corporate welfare


[ Parent ]
No bailout at all? Only 7% of those polled support bailout
http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

"Only seven percent (7%) of voters think the federal government should use taxpayer funds to keep a large financial institution solvent. Sixty-five percent (65%) say let the company file for bankruptcy. "


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